Massenkoff & McCrory (2026) — Anthropic Research
F. Castellaneta
fcastellaneta.com
AI & The Job Market
What the data says about young workers.
−14%
Drop in hiring rate for 22–25 year-olds in AI-exposed occupations
No unemployment increase. Not yet.
Not firing. Not hiring. The door is closing for new entrants.
Business school jobs: top 10 most exposed. Finance, marketing, sales.
Today's classrooms are next.
The disruption isn't layoffs. It's the jobs that never get created.
Source: Massenkoff & McCrory (2026), Labor market impacts of AI. Anthropic.