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Massenkoff & McCrory (2026) — Anthropic Research

F. Castellaneta

fcastellaneta.com

AI & The Job Market

What the data says about young workers.

−14%

Drop in hiring rate for 22–25 year-olds in AI-exposed occupations

No unemployment increase. Not yet.

Not firing. Not hiring. The door is closing for new entrants.

Business school jobs: top 10 most exposed. Finance, marketing, sales.

Today's classrooms are next.

The disruption isn't layoffs. It's the jobs that never get created.

Source: Massenkoff & McCrory (2026), Labor market impacts of AI. Anthropic.