Massenkoff & McCrory (2026) · Anthropic research report · March 2026
AI & the Job Market
Early evidence on young workers in AI-exposed occupations.
−14%
lower monthly job-finding rate for 22–25 year-olds in AI-exposed occupations, relative to their 2022 baseline
The study combines what AI could do in each occupation with what it is actually used for, using CPS labor-market data since ChatGPT’s release.
There is no systematic rise in unemployment for highly exposed workers since late 2022.
For workers aged 22–25 in exposed occupations, the monthly job-finding rate averages 14% below its 2022 baseline. The authors present this as suggestive, not causal.
The most exposed occupations are computer programmers, customer service representatives, and data entry keyers; exposed workers tend to be more educated and higher paid.
Why it matters
If AI changes labor demand through hiring rather than layoffs, the effects appear first for new entrants: the segment of the market that students and business schools face directly.
Company research report, not peer-reviewed. Source: Massenkoff & McCrory (2026), Labor Market Impacts of AI: A New Measure and Early Evidence. Anthropic.